From: Mick Kelly <mick.tiempo@googlemail.com>
To: <P.Jones@uea.ac.uk>
Subject: RE: Global temperature
Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2008 09:02:00 +1300

Yeah, it wasn't so much 1998 and all that that I was concerned about, used
to dealing with that, but the possibility that we might be going through a
longer - 10 year - period of relatively stable temperatures beyond what you
might expect from La Nina etc. 

Speculation, but if I see this as a possibility then others might also.
Anyway, I'll maybe cut the last few points off the filtered curve before I
give the talk again as that's trending down as a result of the end effects
and the recent cold-ish years.

Enjoy Iceland and pass on my best wishes to Astrid.

Mick

> -----Original Message-----
> From: P.Jones@uea.ac.uk [mailto:P.Jones@uea.ac.uk] 
> Sent: 24 October 2008 20:39
> To: Mick Kelly
> Subject: Re: Global temperature
> 
> 
>  Mick,
>   They have noticed for years - mostly wrt
>  the warm year of 1998. The recent coolish years
>  down to La Nina. When I get this question I
>  have 1991-2000 and 2001-2007/8 averages to hand.
>  Last time I did this they were about 0.2 different,
>  which is what you'd expect.
>    In Iceland at a meeting that Astrid invited me to.
>  Cold with snow on the ground, but things cheap as the
>  currency has gone down 30-40% wrt even the pound.
> 
> 
>  Cheers
>  Phil
> 
> > Hi Phil
> >
> > Just updated my global temperature trend graphic for a 
> public talk and
> > noted
> > that the level has really been quite stable since 2000 or 
> so and 2008
> > doesn't look too hot.
> >
> > Anticipating the sceptics latching on to this soon, if they 
> haven't done
> > already, has anyone had a good look at the large-scale circulation
> > anomalies
> > over this period? I haven't noticed anything consistent 
> coming up in the
> > annual climate reviews but then I wasn't really looking.
> >
> > Be awkward if we went through a early 1940s type swing!
> >
> > Hope all's well with you
> >
> > Mick
> >
> > ____________________________________________
> >
> > Mick Kelly
> > PO Box 4260                 Kamo
> > Whangarei 0141              New Zealand
> > email: mick.tiempo@gmail.com
> > web: www.tiempocyberclimate.org
> > ____________________________________________
> >
> >
> 
> 


